Value bets – successful sports betting with value bets:
Very often you can read at forums about this mystic value bets. But this
betting strategy is far ranging and there are many cases at which so called
value bets are everything else but not value.
What is a value bet?
A value bet describes generally bets with inflated odds. So the betting
expert thinks that the odd is compared with the probability too high. The
major difficulty is to calculate the real probabilities of the sports events.
Simplified valuebets work like this: You think that team A will win the
match with a confidence of 50%. A adequate odd to this probability would
be 2,00. If you think they will win with 50% - you should get two times
your stake if they do so if it is a fair odd. If it’s a value bet, the odd
has to be higher than the probability – in the case above a odd which is
higher than 2,00 would be a value odd.
Is it possible to win with valuebets on the long run?
Theoretical value bets will bring you sure winnings. The problem is, that
it’s (nearly) not possible to estimate the real probabilities for sports
events. How can calculate the real probabilities if team A or team B will
win or if the match ends up draw?
How can I estimate the value of a bet?
In order to estimate the probabilities for sports results it’s very important
to do a lot of research. Your estimations should include besides the current
table standings also statistics like head to head, form tables, home- and
away tables and the current situation like injured players. Your calculations
should also be influenced by the situation of the team/player like – which
team needs the points more important? Which team needs to win? and things
like this.
Winning chances, advantages and disadvantages of value bets:
The biggest disadvantage of this betting strategy is the expenditure of
time which is required to calculate the probabilities. You should concentrate
only on a few countries and leagues and study them very intensive. Additional
you should open up betting accounts at many different sportsbooks to grab
the best odd for each particular event. If you realy work hard at your strategy,
you should have a big chance to make great profits on the long run.
Wie empfehlenswert sind sure bets?
Prinzipiell sind sure bets eine gute Möglichkeit beim Sportwetten Geld
zu verdienen. Da es aber einige Risiken gibt, ist es ratsam anfangs nur
mit kleinen Einsätzen zu spielen und sich langsam der Materie anzunähern.
Unser Quotenvergleich gibt Ihnen einen Einblick über die Quotenunterschiede
und Quotenschwankungen der verschiedenen Wettanbieter.
previous page - sure
bets
return to menu
